Deciphering The Art Of Ground Lease Valuation

Written By Corey Philip  |  Commercial

If you’re a landowner and looking for ways to generate income from your land, then you may have considered ground leasing. When a landowner rents out their land to an interested party and they develop it by building property, it’s defined as ground leasing. But before the land can be leased, its value needs to be determined. So, how do you value a ground lease?

Deciphering the art of ground lease valuation is challenging as many factors contribute to the land’s value, including location, net operating income, and rentable area. Additionally, there are multiple ways to calculate this, including the discounted cash flow and direct capitalization method.

Those in commercial real estate usually use ground leases. For example, a big corporation or chain (like Dunkin Donuts) will purchase land, and then the developer will develop and use the property. Most chain stores and a few retail stores operate like this. When land is used in this manner, it becomes very valuable to the land owner and an excellent way to generate revenue.

How To Value A Ground Lease

Different methods are used to evaluate the value of a ground lease. If you are interested in investing this type of investment, here’s what you should consider:

  1. Market value. To determine the market value, you need to conduct a market analysis. Look at other leases in the area and their worth. If the land is in a prime location, you can charge more for the ground lease.
  2. Lease agreement. Understand the lease agreement, including the lease period, monthly payments, and clauses.
  3. Projected rental income. Determine what rental income you can generate from the land and consider any increases.
  4. Assess the risks. Consider the risks involved with this investment. This could be market conditions, tenants defaulting on payments, and complex regulations.
  5. Consider the cap rate. Cap rates are based on several factors, including the location and market size, but generally range between 4% to 7%.
  6. Consult a professional. Valuing ground leases can be a complex process, and it’s best to consult an expert in this field to help guide you on correctly valuing your lease.

How To Calculate A Ground Lease

There are a few methods you can use to calculate a ground lease, but using the discounted cash flow (DCF) method is one of the best. This method has many benefits, including flexibility for different lease terms and incorporating future rent payments. It is also a widely used method of valuation in real estate.

Here is the step-by-step method of calculating a ground lease using the discounted cash flow approach.

  1. Analyze the lease. The first step in calculating a ground lease is to analyze it. Look at aspects like the annual rent, escalation clauses, the duration of the lease, and the renewal. You want to look for anything that may impact the value of the land being leased.
  2. Determine the annual lease payments.to determine the annual lease payments, take the monthly rent and multiply it by 12.
  3. Project future lease payments. Determine what the future payments will be for the lease term. Consider escalations, changes in the agreement, or any other factors that can influence future rent payments.
  4. Use the discounted rate calculation. Discount future payments back to their original figure to work out the present value of the rent. This figure represents the investor’s rate of return and considers the time value of the money generated during the lease. Here’s an in-depth explanation of how to calculate this.
  5. Determine the present value. Once you have the current figure of the future lease payments, you can add them together to get the ground lease valuation.
  6. Consider lease expiry and escalation clauses. Consider the lease expiry and escalation clauses; how does this impact the rental fees? If there are options to renew the lease, what are the projected rental rates?
  7. Compare the results. After calculating the valuation, compare your figure to the market conditions and other leases in the same location and determine its feasibility as an investment.

While this is an effective method of calculating the value of a ground lease, it doesn’t consider other variables like taxes and expenses.

Other Methods Of Calculating Ground Leases

If you’d like to get a better perspective on the valuation of a ground lease or would like to incorporate a few other methods to calculate it, you can use the following:

  • The direct capitalization method determines the present value based on the cap rate. It’s important to note that the cap rate varies based on current market conditions. This method is excellent as it also takes into account the risks that come with investing in a land lease.
  • The income approach method uses the net operating income, which is generated from the land and the improvements carried out on it. It subtracts this income from the total property value. Whatever remains determines what the lease is worth.
  • The comparing similar properties method involves comparing this land with similar leases on the market so investors can estimate the value of the lease.

The Pros And Cons Of Investing In A Ground Lease

A ground lease is the most beneficial to the owner and offers a steady stream of income without having to build on the land. While many argue that they are risky investments, the investor is protected through clauses in the lease agreement. But before committing to this investment, investors should consider the pros and cons.

The Pros And Cons Of Ground Lease Investments
ProsCons
Steady Income Stream – this type of investment offers a steady income stream for investors during the renting period.Lease limitations – when a lease expires, the property and all its buildings belong to the owner. This can be a drawback for the lessee if the lessee is the investor.
Minimal property management – When an investor leases their land, they do not have to maintain or manage the properties built on it. This reduces not only the operational costs but is easier for the owner.Default risks – If you are looking to invest in a ground lease, then one of the most significant risks you face is tenants that default on their rental payments.
Little to no upfront costs – if an investor decides to purchase land and then lease it, there are very few upfront costs, which can be a good option for investors with less capital.Restrictions on developments – Depending on the lease terms, you may be restricted on what you can develop. So, if you’re leasing as an investment, you may want to consider this before entering into the lease agreement.
Multiple development options – having this type of lease offers flexibility to both lessors and the lessee, offering space to develop office spaces, condos, retail stores, and any other developments.Volatility in the market – The value of the land lease is heavily dependent on the real estate market values, which fluctuate constantly and can negatively impact your investment.

Conclusion

Valuating ground leases is an art form and isn’t without its pitfalls. It’s a complex process that can be calculated in various ways and is influenced by many factors. Whichever method you choose to evaluate a land lease, it’s essential to consult a professional to help you get an accurate valuation.

About the Author

I am a small business owner and real estate investor. I have primarily acquired industrial buildings that are partially occupied by my businesses using SBA 504 loans (and leasing the other space). I am currently increasing my exposure to industrial and commercial real estate while exiting small businesses as the income is simply 'easier'. As someone who has been self employed for more than 10 years I do not use Linkedin but you can connect with me on my Instagram or Youtube both of which are primarily focused on my mountain bike travels.