Strategies for Effective Commercial Real Estate Market Analysis

Written By Corey Philip  |  Commercial

A comprehensive real estate market analysis is imperative if you wish to make informed and successful decisions in the commercial property industry. Whether you’re a realtor, a real estate investor, or a developer, understanding market dynamics is essential to maximizing your investments while minimizing the risks involved.

Effective commercial real estate analysis should employ one or more strategies that include qualitative and quantitative data collection methods. These include conducting market research and analyzing the economic environment, demographics, supply and demand, and comparative properties.

By understanding the many factors and variables at play, including historical trends and market projections, real estate investors can gather data to better assess the profitability of real estate investments. Read further for ten strategies to evaluate a commercial real estate investment and build a comprehensive market analysis portfolio for your future investments.

How To Do A Market Analysis For Commercial Real Estate

Accessing as much pertinent data as possible when doing a comprehensive market analysis for commercial real estate is recommended. It’s also advisable to regularly update your knowledge to keep abreast of changes in the market. Below are ten strategies to explore, bearing in mind a multi-faceted approach using two or more methods will offer more data and insight for your analysis.

Gather Comprehensive Data

Start your analysis by collecting extensive data on the real estate market in question, e.g., the local market. You can gather information from commercial real estate websites, government publications, statistics websites, and industry reports. They will offer information on sales trends, property prices, crime rates, and demographics.

You should also analyze historical data to identify the real estate market trends and patterns. Doing this will help you understand how the market has performed in the past, allowing you to make more accurate predictions about future trends.

Perform An Economic Analysis

Analyze economic indicators like employment rates, inflation, and GDP growth. A thriving local economy typically indicates a more robust commercial real estate market, while economic downturns will likely decrease property values.

Additionally, keep track of the planned infrastructure in and around the area, as such development often leads to increased property demand. Examples of these include new highways or turnoffs, public transport systems, and commercial hubs or centers.

Assess The Area Demographics

Understanding the area’s demographics can offer insight into the feasibility of purchasing a commercial property. For instance, local population growth can drive property demand, while declining populations can result in oversupply and reduced property values.

Other demographics to consider include age groups, income levels, entrepreneurs or business owners, employment rates, and local crime statistics. Commercial properties in low-income areas might fetch a lower asking price due to poverty-related crime. In contrast, properties in more wealthy areas will be more expensive.

Understand Local Supply And Demand

An essential aspect of commercial real estate analysis is to assess the inventory of properties currently on the market. When an oversupply of properties is available, the prices tend to stagnate. On the contrary, limited property can drive property prices up as it shows the area is in demand and current owners are settled.

Factors that affect commercial real estate demand include nearby or available amenities, employment opportunities, zoning, and locale preferences. Such factors will impact the demand for residential, commercial, and industrial properties.

Conduct A Comparative Market Analysis (CMA)

A comparative market analysis (CMA) allows you to determine a commercial property’s value based on the sale prices of properties recently sold in the area. Using this method gives insight into the current market value and aids in identifying competitive prices.

However, when doing a CMA, it’s best to make adjustments for variables, including the property size, location, and condition. Doing this will ensure an accurate comparison that closely reflects the property’s actual value for that time.

Identify Market Segments

Another strategy for effective commercial real estate analysis is identifying and dividing market segments, e.g., commercial property types, locale, and buyer profiles. Understanding each segment’s unique characteristics and trends allows for a more targeted analysis.

You could also do a micro-market analysis for more significant regions. Doing this provides further detail and insights into specific neighborhoods, helping investors and developers to understand localized trends and opportunities.

Use Predictive Analytics And Technological Tools

Consider harnessing the power of artificial intelligence and machine learning algorithms to streamline the analysis process and provide more accurate, fact-based results. Predictive analytics helps forecast market trends based on current variables and historical data.

You could also use real estate software and tools that offer analytical features like market trends, property valuations, and demographic profiling.

Utilize A SWOT Analysis

A comprehensive SWOT analysis of the local real estate market helps to evaluate the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats associated with properties in the area. Examples include the following:

  • Strengths: A robust economy or good infrastructure.
  • Weaknesses: An oversupply of commercial properties and a high crime rate.
  • Opportunities: Upcoming developments and emerging markets.
  • Threats: Economic downturns and regulatory changes impacting property values.

Familiarize Yourself With Local Regulations And Laws

Knowing the zoning regulations and land use policies for commercial real estate properties is essential. Such laws will dictate the types of properties allowed in specific areas and impact property development opportunities.

Understanding legal considerations is also imperative to a real estate analysis. For instance, considerations like rent control laws, property taxes, and environmental regulations can significantly influence an investment’s profitability.

Seek Insight From Experts And Locals

Local real estate agents, brokers, and developers possess valuable insights and perspectives on the market. Interview those keen to share their knowledge and views on market trends, upcoming developments, and buyer preferences. You can also gauge public sentiment and future changes in the area by attending neighborhood gatherings, town hall meetings, and local events.

Conclusion

A practical real estate market analysis involves a multi-faceted approach that collects quantitative data, qualitative insights, and expert opinions. The ten strategies discussed in this article will help investors and developers of commercial real estate to understand factors that affect the real estate market and help them make informed decisions.

About the Author

I am a small business owner and real estate investor. I have primarily acquired industrial buildings that are partially occupied by my businesses using SBA 504 loans (and leasing the other space). I am currently increasing my exposure to industrial and commercial real estate while exiting small businesses as the income is simply 'easier'. As someone who has been self employed for more than 10 years I do not use Linkedin but you can connect with me on my Instagram or Youtube both of which are primarily focused on my mountain bike travels.